Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 104.962744 121.705028 141.813853 168.232198 202.799884 247.683489 312.544177
2024-10-06 84.899369 105.901177 134.304222 177.441227 245.322591 356.827113 579.440363
2024-10-13 68.110384 88.438179 117.850692 166.670674 253.647966 424.570731 884.222441
2024-10-20 61.209847 82.513100 115.397968 175.120052 297.000035 595.690197 1868.130442
2024-10-27 53.670795 73.978327 106.580795 169.267758 309.554413 716.304131 3465.916410
2024-11-03 51.659791 73.477926 110.540379 188.185579 389.814304 1188.593628 24996.384029
2024-11-10 51.800410 76.363731 120.938215 224.799356 555.729666 2833.429064 NaN
2024-11-17 47.789719 71.488324 115.692515 223.579808 602.564244 4282.640744 NaN
2024-11-24 43.874493 66.270907 108.822805 216.034027 620.077632 5916.137472 NaN
2024-12-01 41.285683 63.134326 105.638677 217.295133 680.923962 10952.771328 NaN
2024-12-08 39.349123 60.961695 104.081428 222.656658 773.925761 31395.550424 NaN
2024-12-15 37.262165 58.276003 100.982730 222.519589 840.749850 135000.165116 NaN
2024-12-22 34.360497 54.249868 95.434427 216.870364 898.432285 NaN NaN
2024-12-29 32.631968 52.390780 94.695286 227.851206 1138.474803 NaN NaN
2025-01-05 29.707539 47.849357 86.944343 211.604049 1100.818573 NaN NaN
2025-01-12 28.507180 46.617601 86.865294 223.548989 1439.989045 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 26.564037 43.653552 82.016021 215.074971 1499.200944 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 26.221856 43.947616 85.395042 242.453926 2480.032598 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 26.536593 45.666393 92.974293 297.069043 6783.020659 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 25.217642 43.652168 89.820709 295.214190 8758.017931 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 23.805298 41.304658 85.355153 283.801187 9485.737265 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 22.831083 39.860067 83.306186 285.702253 13741.039749 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 22.070978 38.831069 82.317904 293.812459 25955.805309 NaN NaN